Geoeconomics x RI

Andi Widjajanto Kamis, 30 Juli 2026
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Penulis

Andi Widjajanto

Andi Widjajanto

Penasihat Senior

The global order has crossed a structural threshold. The logic that organized the world economy after 1945 — the formation of networks under norms of openness — has run its course, displaced by the logic of network deployment as an instrument of coercion. The United Arab Emirates’ exit from OPEC on 1 May 2026 is the terminal signal of that transition.

For Indonesia, the transition arrives at the worst possible moment: strong in only one of eight strategic global networks, while the institutional resilience built after 1998 erodes from within. This essay offers one framework of interpretation — and one verdict: the stability of stability itself is declining.

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